When the Eagles defeated the Chiefs in Super Bowl 59, it marked the fifth straight year that the underdog cashed a winning ticket. But don’t get the idea that betting on the dog is a foolproof way to win.
In fact, you can flip a coin and do just as well over the long term based on Super Bowl historical trends.
Fun facts: Underdogs are 29-28-2 in the 59 Super Bowls that have been played to date. The OVER/UNDER is dead even at 29-29 in Super Bowl betting history after no total was posted for Super Bowl 1.
Check out the table below for ATS & OVER/UNDER results in every Super Bowl, and then we’ll take a look at current futures odds with a breakdown of the four teams that remain as contenders.
Super Bowl Betting History: ATS & OVER/UNDER Results
| SUPER BOWL | WINNER | CHIEFS | ATS COVER | OVER/UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | Eagles 40 | Chiefs 22 | Eagles +1.5 | OVER 48.5 |
| 58 | Chiefs 25 | 49ers 22 | Chiefs +1.5 | UNDER 47.5 |
| 57 | Chiefs 38 | Eagles 35 | Chiefs +1.5 | OVER 51.5 |
| 56 | Rams 23 | Bengals 20 | Bengals +4.5 | UNDER 48.5 |
| 55 | Bucs 31 | Chiefs 9 | Bucs +3 | UNDER 55.5 |
| 54 | Chiefs 31 | 49ers 20 | Chiefs -1 | UNDER 53.5 |
| 53 | Patriots 13 | Rams 3 | Patriots -2 | UNDER 55.5 |
| 52 | Eagles 41 | Patriots 33 | Eagles +5.5 | OVER 49 |
| 51 | Patriots 34 | Falcons 28 | Patriots -3 | OVER 57 |
| 50 | Broncos 24 | Panthers 10 | Broncos +4.5 | UNDER 43.5 |
| 49 | Patriots 28 | Seahawks 24 | Patriots +1 | UNDER 47 |
| 48 | Seahawks 43 | Broncos 8 | Seahawks +2 | OVER 47 |
| 47 | Ravens 34 | 49ers 31 | Ravens +4.5 | OVER 47.5 |
| 46 | Giants 21 | Patriots 17 | Giants +3 | UNDER 53 |
| 45 | Packers 31 | Steelers 25 | Packers -3 | OVER 45 |
| 44 | Saints 31 | Colts 17 | Saints +5 | UNDER 57 |
| 43 | Steelers 27 | Cardinals 23 | Cardinals +7 | OVER 46 |
| 42 | Giants 17 | Patriots 14 | Giants +12 | UNDER 55 |
| 41 | Colts 21 | Bears 17 | Colts -7 | UNDER 47 |
| 40 | Steelers 21 | Seahawks 10 | Steelers -4 | UNDER 47 |
| 39 | Patriots 24 | Eagles 21 | Eagles +7 | UNDER 47 |
| 38 | Patriots 32 | Panthers 29 | Panthers +7 | OVER 38 |
| 37 | Bucs 48 | Raiders 21 | Bucs +3.5 | OVER 44 |
| 36 | Patriots 20 | Rams 17 | Patriots 14 | UNDER 52.5 |
| 35 | Ravens 34 | Giants 7 | Ravens -3 | OVER 32.5 |
| 34 | Rams 23 | Titans 16 | Push | UNDER 48 |
| 33 | Broncos 34 | Falcons 19 | Broncos -7.5 | OVER 51.5 |
| 32 | Broncos 31 | Packers 24 | Broncos +11.5 | OVER 49.5 |
| 31 | Packers 35 | Patriots 21 | Push | OVER 49 |
| 30 | Cowboys 27 | Steelers 17 | Steelers +13.5 | UNDER 52 |
| 29 | 49ers 49 | Chargers 26 | 49ers -18 | OVER 54 |
| 28 | Cowboys 30 | Bills 13 | Cowboys -10.5 | UNDER 50.5 |
| 27 | Cowboys 52 | Bills 17 | Cowboys -6 | OVER 45 |
| 26 | Redskins 37 | Bills 24 | Redskins -7 | UNDER 49 |
| 25 | Giants 20 | Bills 19 | Giants +7 | PUSH 39 |
| 24 | 49ers 55 | Broncos 10 | 49ers -12.5 | OVER 47 |
| 23 | 49ers 20 | Bengals 16 | Bengals +7 | UNDER 47.5 |
| 22 | Redskins 42 | Broncos 10 | Redskins +3.5 | OVER 47 |
| 21 | Giants 39 | Broncos 20 | Giants -9.5 | OVER 40.5 |
| 20 | Bears 46 | Patriots 10 | Bears -10 | OVER 37 |
| 19 | 49ers 38 | Dolphins 16 | 49ers -3 | OVER 53 |
| 18 | Raiders 38 | Redskins 9 | Raiders +3 | UNDER 48 |
| 17 | Redskins 27 | Dolphins 17 | Redskins +3 | OVER 36.5 |
| 16 | 49ers 26 | Bengals 21 | 49ers Pick’ Em | UNDER 48.5 |
| 15 | Raiders 27 | Eagles 10 | Raiders +3 | UNDER 37.5 |
| 14 | Steelers 31 | Rams 19 | Steelers -10.5 | OVER 36 |
| 13 | Steelers 35 | Cowboys 31 | Push | OVER 37 |
| 12 | Cowboys 27 | Broncos 10 | Cowboys -6 | UNDER 39 |
| 11 | Raiders 32 | Vikings 14 | Raiders -4.5 | OVER 38 |
| 10 | Steelers 21 | Cowboys 17 | Cowboys +6.5 | OVER 36 |
| 9 | Steelers 16 | Vikings 6 | Steelers -3 | UNDER 33 |
| 8 | Dolphins 24 | Vikings 7 | Dolphins -6.5 | UNDER 33 |
| 7 | Dolphins 14 | Redskins 7 | Dolphins +1.5 | UNDER 33 |
| 6 | Cowboys 24 | Dolphins 3 | Cowboys -6 | UNDER 34 |
| 5 | Colts 16 | Cowboys 13 | Colts +2.5 | UNDER 36 |
| 4 | Chiefs 23 | Vikings 17 | Chiefs +12 | OVER 39 |
| 3 | Jets 16 | Colts 7 | Jets +18 | UNDER 40 |
| 2 | Packers 33 | Raiders 14 | Packers -13.5 | OVER 43 |
| 1 | Packers 35 | Chiefs 10 | Packers -14 | N/A |
Super Bowl 60 Futures at DraftKings: Seahawks Atop Odds Board
DraftKings was dealing Seattle as the betting favorite at the time of publication. Check out the odds for all four teams:
- Seahawks +145
- Rams +230
- Patriots +260
- Broncos +1000
Seahawks
Seattle (15-3) is coming off a 41-6 thrashing of San Francisco. The Seahawks now face another NFC West rival when the Rams come to town on Sunday.
The two teams split the regular-season series, with the home team winning each game. QB Sam Darnold‘s career renaissance will be complete if he can lead Seattle to its second Super Bowl win in franchise history.
Rams
Los Angeles (14-5) somehow squandered a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter at Seattle back on Dec. 18. The Rams ultimately lost that game in overtime, 38-37.
Hopefully, we’re in line for another thriller on Sunday. LA quarterback Matthew Stafford will likely collect the NFL MVP award next month. Stafford threw for 46 TD passes to lead the NFL by a wide margin during the regular season. Stafford enjoys the luxury of having Puka Nacua and Davante Adams as elite WR targets.
The Rams will need to shore up their defense and special teams to avenge that heartbreaking loss to the Seahawks last time out.
Patriots
At BetMGM, New England’s Mike Vrabel closed as the odds-on favorite (-285) to win NFL Coach of the Year. QB Drake Maye made major strides in his sophomore season as a pro. He’s the only other QB besides Stafford who has a shot at NFL MVP.
It’s been a magical ride so far, but Maye will make his first playoff start on the road against Denver. The Patriots (16-3) also benefited from playing only three playoff teams during the regular season.
Broncos
The central storyline for Denver (15-3) involves backup QB Jarrett Stidham starting against New England after Bo Nix suffered an ankle injury last week.
Love or loathe him, head coach Sean Payton is likely to craft a game plan that helps protect Stidham. Denver’s defense was dominant during the regular season, ranking second in total defense and third in scoring defense.
If that version of Denver’s D shows up Sunday, this feels like a nail-biter that could become an instant classic.
The post All-Time Super Bowl Betting Data Reveals Surprising Coin-Flip Reality appeared first on CasinoBeats.
When the Eagles defeated the Chiefs in Super Bowl 59, it marked the fifth straight year that the underdog cashed a winning ticket. But don’t get the idea that betting on the dog is a foolproof way to win. In fact, you can flip a coin and do just as well over the long term
The post All-Time Super Bowl Betting Data Reveals Surprising Coin-Flip Reality appeared first on CasinoBeats.