According to reports from prediction markets, Donald Trump is topping the odds for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. On sites like Polymarket and Kalshi, Trump’s chances are around 11–13%, just behind Russian activist Yulia Navalnaya. Meanwhile, William Hill lists him as the favorite, with 5/4 odds compared to Navalnaya’s 2/1. Over the past few weeks,
According to reports from prediction markets, Donald Trump is topping the odds for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
On sites like Polymarket and Kalshi, Trump’s chances are around 11–13%, just behind Russian activist Yulia Navalnaya. Meanwhile, William Hill lists him as the favorite, with 5/4 odds compared to Navalnaya’s 2/1.
Over the past few weeks, Trump’s odds have climbed noticeably. Every news story or diplomatic development seems to push his numbers up, especially discussions involving Ukraine and Russia. This makes bettors see a potential big deal.
Other nominees are still in the running, though. Navalnaya, for example, holds strong odds on multiple platforms, showing that the race is far from over. Prediction market records changes every day, making the process of following the odds feel a bit like watching a live game.
Trump’s name in the iGaming market has been on fire for a while. His recent budget bill, the “Big Beautiful Bill,” faced severe criticism over tax changes that could harm professional gamblers and negatively impact the medical funding segment.
The winner of the Nobel Prize will be announced on October 10, 2025. Whether Trump will take the prize or not, his top spot in the odds highlights the global interest around him.